First things first: What is
the New Economy thinking?
As already stated in one my
previous blog posts, the New Economy, also
called the Next Economy, follows one
central rule: “The winner takes it all” – the first person to come up with an
innovative solution gets the biggest market share (around 70%). The New Economy will affect all markets and industries including the
plastics industry. The Internet of Things
and Industry 4.0 starts to take off at
industrial scale. In the next 5 years, maybe even earlier, decisions will be
made and the gap between successful and
failed businesses will be
significantly increased.
My suggestions on how to accelerate the New Economy thinking in the plastics
industry:
Orientate on the key principles of 4 major personalities
who have established complete new systems and turn around whole industries in
the 21st century:
1) Elon
Musk (Founder of Tesla & SpaceX): “It doesn’t matter whatever you are doing needs to be a great product
or service”.
It doesn’t matter what the
others offer, what you offer needs to be a lot better. For example, when you
enter with your product or service an existing market place, you will need to
stand out. Elan Musk states that you always have to jump into the customer role
and ask: Why would I buy exactly this? You as a customer will buy the trusted
brand unless there is a big difference compared to your trusted brand. It can
be a price difference (much cheaper) or a value difference (significantly more
added value).
There are often intellectual
property discussions, which could come along with your product. Here, Elon Musk
has an interesting view: “All Our Patent Are Belong To You”
Technology leadership is not defined by patents,
which history has repeatedly shown to be small protection indeed against a
determined competitor, but rather by the ability of a company to attract and
motivate the world’s most talented engineers. We believe that applying the open
source philosophy to our patents will strengthen rather than diminish Tesla’s
position in this regard (Elon Musk, June 12, 2014).
2) Peter Thiel (Founder PayPal, Investor): “Competition
is for losers”.
Straight forward his view on
how to build successful businesses in the New
Economy. You need to go from
zero to one and aim for a monopoly. Your business needs to differentiate itself
so much from others that it is not even competing. Important to note is that a
world of perfect competition is a world where all the capital gets competed away!
A good example which demonstrates the zero to one philosophy is Google: they have no serious
competition. Google differentiated itself
so strongly from Yahoo and
Microsoft Bing that it has been able to hold the monopoly of the digital search
engines for the past 13 years, which results in an enormous cash flow.
Part of a successful
zero-to-one strategy is to find the secret path. Most companies try to rush
through the tiny doors where everybody tries to get through. Maybe, around the
corner there is a secret gate which no one is using. Always strive for the
secret path.
3) Tim Ferris (Inventor of the 4-hour
workweek, 4-hour body and 4-hour chief): “DiSSS formula”.
In the New Economy, adapting your skills in a certain direction or
learning new skills may elevate the way to do business. How to do that best?
Follow the DiSSS formula to master everything, from learning a language to learn
cooking. Tim explains this method by using LEGO blocks [1]:
Deconstruction: "What are the minimal
learnable units, the LEGO blocks, I should starting with?"
Selection: "Which 20% of the blocks
should I focus on for 80% or more of the outcome I want?"
Sequencing: "In what order should I
learn the blocks?"
Stakes: "How do I set up stakes
to create real consequences and guarantee I follow the program?"
Apart of DiSSS, from the
4-hour workweek book, I took away 2 other concepts, which can make your daily
actions in business easier: The Pareto principle (80% output results from 20%
inputs) and the Parkinson law (a task will increase importance and complexity
in relation to the time allocated for its completion).
This can help you increasing your
productivity by:
- Apply the Pareto principle to focus on important tasks and then
- The Parkinson law for shortening your time to important tasks.
4) Simon
Sinek (Author of Start with Why): “Why? How? What?”.
Great leaders inspire people
from the inside (Asking: Why?) to the outside (Asking: What?), which is
represented by the so-called golden circle. The key for motivating people to
take on action starts by stating out why
you do certain things and not by explaining the ‘what’ of a task or product.
The ‘what’ is always a consequence of your ‘why’. Take as an example the way Nike
and Apple communicate. People follow
you, not because they must. They follow you because they identify themselves with
your product’s philosophy. This is explained by Simon with the law of diffusion of innovation.
-The first 2.5% of our population are our innovators.
-The
next 13.5% of our population are our early adopters.
-The next 34% are our early majority, our late majority (34%) and our laggards (16%).
For
having a mass-market success you need to achieve the tipping point between 15
and 18 % market penetration. Then, the market starts to tip and your idea will
be accepted by the majority or simple put:
“People
don't buy what you do; they buy why you do it and what you do simply proves
what you believe. (Simon Sinek)”
The
unwritten rules of the New Economy
will change the way how we do business, how we innovate and how we live. The
best way of understanding the ideas around the aforementioned people is to observe
your direct environment. You will find already influencing changes in most
disciplines of plastics processing, production and developments.
Further
remarks on this topic:
To follow the ideas of the New Economy, we have to start living in
2016 and not applying concepts and methods from e.g. 2008. You can observe that
strongly in marketing: companies spend millions of their budget on printed advertisements,
however, nowadays you need to directly hit the customer within seconds (online)!!
Silicon Valley in the U.S. has
a clear vision and answers on how we will live in coming years. They will influence
the world population over their business monopolies. Only few people will decide
on how millions of people will live. This way of thinking is imperialistic
dominated. The United States of America is good prepared for changes to come
up, since most of these monopolies have originated there. The European Union
has no answer to most of the questions which will come up in the next years.
Main areas of strong vision for
the future are:
- Our health: we will become older than 100 years. The medical treatment will shift from passive (going to doctor for treatment) to strongly preventive (measuring and recognizing upcoming diseases). Gen engineering will also be on the way.
- The way of transportation will change - self-driving cars are finding their way in the market.
- Artificial intelligence: the machines learn behaviors on their own and replace the human beings in certain jobs which can cause an increase in unemployment up to 40-50%.
All the aforementioned areas are
chances for the plastics industry to deliver solutions. The most important
assets of the New Economy are people
with their ideas and how we spend our time. Time needs to be seen as the new
currency. You need to be open for business opportunities 24/7. Share this post
and till next time!
Greetings,
Herwig
Literature:
[1] http://uk.businessinsider.com/tim-ferriss-disss-system-to-learn-anything-2015-3?r=US&IR=T
Literature:
[1] http://uk.businessinsider.com/tim-ferriss-disss-system-to-learn-anything-2015-3?r=US&IR=T